Defensor Sporting vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
MWA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
SUD
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
REN
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
SFE
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |