Copa Libertadores qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 0-2
Defensor Sporting vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 3
BOL
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 4
DEF
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
TUP
88%
10%
2%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 2
DAN
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
DAN
2 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |