Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 0
RIV
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
DEF
20%
27%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
CEL
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
LUZ
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 2
ALB
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 2
RIV
30%
26%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |