Defensor Sporting vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ETS
2 - 1
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUD
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 6
DEF
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 1
TAC
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
ATE
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |