Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 2
REN
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
PAS
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 3
DEF
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 4
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
PAS
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAS
0 - 1
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
PAS
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
PAS
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
GLP
3 - 2
PAS
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |