Defensor San Alejandro vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
ACR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
SBO
0 - 0
DEF
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
7 - 3
LOS
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 0
ACR
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 3
AUN
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 1
LOS
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUN
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AUN
2 - 1
ALF
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |