Defensor Lima vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +3 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |