Defensor Lima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
1 - 0
DEF
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAO
8%
21%
71%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
DEF
1 - 0
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | +3 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
1 - 0
DEF
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
0 - 0
SAO
31%
28%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
VAL
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |