Defensor Lima vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +3 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |