Defensor Cubillas vs Atletico Juventud Inclan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Cubillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
DCE
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
DCE
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
6 - 2
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DLV
2 - 1
DCE
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Juventud Inclan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
DCE
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 0
RAN
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |