Defensor Concepción vs Ecosem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
71.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 0
DEC
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ecosem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ECO
1 - 2
SEM
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ECO
2 - 2
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
APO
2 - 2
ECO
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
SIP
1 - 0
ECO
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ECO
3 - 1
SIP
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |