Defensor Arica vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 0
LIG
25%
21%
55%
|
18 | 78 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 1
AME
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 77 | 59 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 2
ARI
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 77 | 60 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIG
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
3 - 0
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 18 | 59 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
2 - 0
UNI
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |