Defensa y Justicia II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DYJ
1 - 2
GOC
45%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
DYJ
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DYJ
1 - 0
RAC
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DYJ
1 - 0
PLA
62%
22%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 0
DYJ
35%
27%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
IND
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
64%
22%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
TIG
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
SAR
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
EST
26%
26%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |