Defensa y Justicia vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
DYJ
0 - 2
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 1
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
DYJ
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
IRV
3 - 2
DYJ
42%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 2
RAC
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
DEF
3 - 2
CEL
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LFC
1 - 0
CEL
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 1
VIT
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 3
UCE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
PLA
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |