Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
4 - 0
ANN
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
POI
0 - 1
DEF
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 3
DEF
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 4
DEF
57%
22%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NOR
4 - 0
DEF
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 3
CON
36%
25%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |