Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ANN
0 - 2
DEF
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
7 - 2
POI
69%
18%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 2
POL
46%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
CON
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
POI
0 - 4
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
CON
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
CEN
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
PAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |