Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
POI
0 - 0
DEF
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
DEF
4 - 0
POL
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
31%
26%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 7
CON
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
CON
7 - 1
POI
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |