Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 3
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECM
3 - 1
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
ECM
3 - 0
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEF
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
STA
1 - 3
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
ECM
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
DEF
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |