Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 2
CAL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
DEF
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
DEF
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
0 - 0
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |