Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 2
ANN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 0
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 0
DEF
42%
25%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 3
DEF
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
UPT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
TBU
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 2
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ANN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
PRI
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |