Defence Force vs St. Anns Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
5 - 1
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 2
ECM
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
CEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
DEF
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
4 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Anns Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
POL
2 - 2
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
CEN
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 3
ECM
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |