Defence Force vs FC South End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
5 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |