Defence Force vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
DEF
5 - 1
ROU
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
DEF
6 - 1
RUC
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
RUC
0 - 3
DEF
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1988 |
DEF
0 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEF
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
SNL
0 - 0
ROU
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SNL
7 - 1
SVJ
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +5 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
SVJ
1 - 3
SNL
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |