Defence Force vs San Juan Jabloteh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
11º
2º
22
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEF
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
5 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 2
DEF
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 0
CUN
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PSE
0 - 7
DEF
6%
15%
80%
|
61 | 11 | 50 | +1 |
Matches
San Juan Jabloteh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEF
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 6
LHR
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
POI
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |