Defence Force vs Point Fortin FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
NOR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
DEF
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 0
DEF
12%
17%
72%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POI
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
DEF
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Point Fortin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POI
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
POI
0 - 2
CEN
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
POI
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POI
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
POL
0 - 3
POI
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |