Defence Force vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
JOE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 3
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 2
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CON
0 - 0
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
UPT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
UPT
0 - 0
PAU
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
TBU
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ANN
0 - 2
PAU
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |