Defence Force vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
PAU
2 - 3
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEF
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
UPT
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
ANN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 2
JOE
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
ANN
2 - 2
JOE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
JOE
2 - 1
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
JOE
3 - 0
TBU
68%
19%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |