Defence Force vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 2
NOR
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
JOE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
JOE
1 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
JOE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
JOE
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 1
JOE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
JOE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |