Defence Force vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
UPT
2 - 2
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 3
NOR
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
JOE
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 1
JOE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 2
JOE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
ANN
0 - 3
JOE
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
JOE
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |