Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
DEF
1 - 1
ATH
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LHR
2 - 2
DEF
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
DEF
10 - 0
CUN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DEF
3 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
DEF
2 - 1
POL
44%
23%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 5
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TFP
1 - 2
CAL
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 2
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 3
LHR
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |