Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 2
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEF
21%
24%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POI
1 - 2
CAL
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
POI
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |