Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
DEF
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
DEF
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 2
UPT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |