Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
TBU
1 - 3
DEF
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 0
POL
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 0
JOE
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
UPT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 0
UPT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ANN
0 - 1
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |