Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
EST
21%
30%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
UAI
40%
30%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
BRO
25%
30%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 0
SUA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 2
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
SUA
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SUA
0 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |