Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
DEF
59%
25%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
DEF
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 3
ALM
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
DAL
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
SUA
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SUA
0 - 2
STM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 2
SUA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |