Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LAF
0 - 0
DEF
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
CCO
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
TAL
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
TEM
2 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SUA
2 - 1
FLA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
0 - 1
SUA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SUA
0 - 1
BRO
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SUA
1 - 0
LAF
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CCO
2 - 1
SUA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |