Def. Belgrano vs Temperley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
DEF
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
GIM
39%
31%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 2
SMA
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
TEM
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 0
GIM
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
TEM
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
TEM
3 - 2
BEL
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |