Def. Belgrano vs Temperley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
DEF
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 2
COL
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
BRO
18%
27%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
51%
28%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
TEM
2 - 1
DAL
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
TEM
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
TEM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AND
0 - 0
TEM
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TEM
4 - 3
STM
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |