Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TEM
1 - 1
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 1
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 1
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 2
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ARM
0 - 0
SAR
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
TAL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 0
STM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BRO
3 - 1
SAR
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |