Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 0
DEF
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 0
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAF
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CCO
1 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
SAR
2 - 2
SUA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAR
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |