Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
MER
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
DEF
3 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DEF
0 - 0
SUA
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DEF
2 - 2
STM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SAR
2 - 4
STM
76%
15%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
ARM
0 - 3
SAR
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
SAR
2 - 0
BER
88%
9%
2%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
CAM
2 - 2
SAR
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
SAR
0 - 1
TEM
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |