Def. Belgrano vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
MOR
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
FEN
34%
32%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 1
DEF
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEF
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
STM
1 - 2
ARM
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
STM
1 - 3
ATL
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
STM
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
STM
84%
13%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
ALM
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |