Def. Belgrano vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
40%
31%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
SMG
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
TAL
18%
23%
58%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAC
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 2
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
SMG
1 - 1
SAC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 1
ALM
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |