Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
37.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 0
DEF
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 0
CCS
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AND
1 - 1
DEF
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 3
RAF
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
DEF
66%
23%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ATT
1 - 0
PLA
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 0
ARS
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
AGR
2 - 0
PLA
41%
30%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 0
DAL
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 3
PLA
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |