Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
VSC
39%
31%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEF
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
STM
1 - 2
PLA
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
FEN
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
SUA
3 - 1
PLA
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |