Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
31.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
SUA
33%
32%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
DEF
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 2
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
47%
30%
23%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 1
MOR
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 0
FEN
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
PLA
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 0
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |