Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
TEM
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
15%
24%
62%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 0
SUA
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
TEM
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SUA
1 - 1
PLA
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 3
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
PLA
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |