Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
SUA
3 - 2
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
TEM
3 - 1
PLA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PLA
0 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 2
PLA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
PLA
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PLA
5 - 2
BRO
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |