Primera B Metro. Final
Global 2-2
Def. Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
DEF
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
BRO
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 3
BAR
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |