Def. Belgrano vs Midland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
17%
26%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
RIE
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
LUJ
73%
20%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 1
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 0
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MID
0 - 2
JJU
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
BER
62%
23%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MID
0 - 1
DOC
29%
26%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 0
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |